The Art of Politics

The Monster At The End Of This Election

Grover sees looming gloom for someone...

The overweening zeal of many Democrat activists this elections cycle dovetails nicely with the presumptions of what the Democrat party has devolved to.

While at times overweening itself in it's praise of the Bush administration, the article efficiently states the obvious. The Democrat party has become a conglomerate of disparate interests that seek to affect deliverable outcomes from government. When out of power, the Democrat party's entire raison d'etre vanishes - unions have little politically in common with environmentalists, in fact coal miners and environmentalists have almost diametrically opposed interests to each other. They support a shared cause and party to magnify their power to obtain ends that otherwise are not obtainable on their own. The United States doesn't have a coalition government, but it does have a coalition party - the Democrat party. But when the Democrat party is out of power at every level of government, they precipitously lose the ability to keep these groups together. When those ends are unmet, there is no other cohesion to keeps the groups aligned.

Grover forsees the resolution of this on the short cycle - just 10 years after losing the House. This is unlikely, but there is likely to be an internal reorganization of the party. Two options are possible. One is that moderate Democrats continue their exodus (Coleman, Campbell, etc.) from the Democrat party, which moves the party left and out of electable power. Or, the party casts off some of it's conglomeration which will cost short term electability at national levels for a rebirth of long term viability.

Either way, a Bush re-election will bring a blood-letting among Democrats...

UPDATE: The WSJ sees the decline as well...

Posted by MEC2 at September 13, 2004 08:20 PM