The Art of Politics

Stuff A Poll In It

PoliPundit saves me some time...

An article at PoliPundit by the good folks there does a good job discussing the strange mix of polling we're seeing.

The first problem with Gallup and Newsweek - too much movement. There is simply politically no real reason to expect such a drastic swing in numbers - unless there is a bigger problem with polling methodology. Are we seeing numbers that were too large for Bush then, or too low now, or both?

Compare now the Pew poll, a poll usually considered a hair biased toward the Democrat ticket, shows Bush up by five. As does ABC/WaPost.

PoliPundit points out a problem that we discussed about regional polling and party identification - polling the West Coast is unlikely to give you a sample applicable to the rest of the country.

Distrust rapid movement in polls, it's likely jello sloshing in the mold...

Posted by MEC2 at October 4, 2004 11:08 PM